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Trade Agreement Updates

December 11, 2018

In the new U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), which would replace the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), among gains for the United States is a new provision negotiated with Mexico related to auto products. Under the new terms, to qualify for tariff-free sales, 75 percent of automobile materials must be produced in the United States and…

Economic Indicators

November 20, 2018

Newton’s laws of motion and gravity are often applied to economics and the stock market. What goes up, must come down. While this generally explains a natural path of the economic cycle, the key question for most investors is: When will it come down? While no one can predict market directions with exact accuracy, economists look to…

Are We in a Corporate Debt Bubble?

November 6, 2018

2018 marks the 10th anniversary of the Great Recession of 2008. Despite a painfully slow recovery, U.S. economic growth has been sustainable. The stock and bond markets continue to perform well, unemployment is low and the economy is generally considered healthy and booming. And yet, whenever things are going well, it’s only human nature to…

Real Estate Update

October 30, 2018

What a difference a decade makes. After the real estate debacle of the Great Recession, home prices are now near record highs in many markets with mortgage default and foreclosure rates at near record lows, according to the National Association of Realtors, or NAR.1 However, Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist, says some of America’s most…

Trade Wars: More Context

October 23, 2018

In particular, automobiles seem to be in the crosshairs of President Trump’s hard line on trade with the rest of the world. Here are a few reasons why:1 S. auto production represents about 2.7 percent of GDP. There are more jobs in motor-vehicle assembly than in computers and electronics, chemicals, motor vehicle parts, plastics and…

When to Pivot?

September 18, 2018

The first half of 2018 went well in terms of market performance and economic growth. In fact, the second longest-running bull market in U.S. stock market history managed to weather a few bumps and bruises to climb even higher. That’s the good news. 1 The bad news are the expected near-term headwinds that could change the…

Trade Wars

September 4, 2018

There’s a never-ending stream of political news these days, but the stock market has remained relatively resilient. The market successfully weathered potential distractions that may have been detrimental in previous years, but that calm may end as as there have been ongoing discussions about tariffs with global trade partners.1 In the past, the presidential power…

Wealth and the Trump Effect

August 21, 2018

The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act was meant to kickstart the economy with growth not seen in a decade. Six months in, the results are a bit lackluster. Business investment has increased only slightly throughout the last year (excluding oil and gas, which are highly volatile).1 This begs the question — how much impact do…

Economic Effects of U.S. Putting ‘America First’

July 10, 2018

At the start of this century, the internet enhanced global communication, and the world transitioned into one massive economy. But this new landscape came at a cost, and after years of hardships, including terrorist threats, domestic recession, income gaps and divisive politics, the country is now turning its focus inward on “America First” economics.1 The…

Patience Is Your Biggest Investment Asset

January 9, 2018

An Excerpt from the Article: Patience is a virtue, but it can be difficult for investors to master. Focusing on short-term results may impede progress toward long-term investing objectives, limiting the potential of your portfolio. Over time, what you invest in may prove less important than your ability to ride out movements in the market. A…

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